Polymarket (Global)
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Arman Tsarukyan
Updated 14m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
8¢
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢
Pricedger fair probability
5%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
39,198
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be…
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