Polymarket (Global)
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Updated 32m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
81¢
Bid 80¢ · Ask 81¢
Pricedger fair probability
82%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
93,200
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by App…
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