Polymarket (Global)
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Updated 44m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
71¢
Bid 63¢ · Ask 78¢
Pricedger fair probability
72%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-6.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
331,408
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while…
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