Polymarket (Global)
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?
October 31
Updated 29m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
100¢
Bid 99¢ · Ask 100¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
109,247
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even…
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