Polymarket (Global)
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 1h ago · Settles Jan 1, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
3¢
Bid 2¢ · Ask 4¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
403,836
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
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