Polymarket (Global)

Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?

No IPO by November 30, 2026

Updated 15m ago · Settles Dec 1, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

22¢

Bid 21¢ · Ask 23¢

Pricedger fair probability

20%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.7 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

41,880

Fine-print risk

30/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of t…

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