Polymarket (Global)
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?
Anthropic
Updated 7m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
89¢
Bid 88¢ · Ask 90¢
Pricedger fair probability
91%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,507
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to…
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