Polymarket (Global)
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Anthropic
Updated 46m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
16¢
Bid 13¢ · Ask 18¢
Pricedger fair probability
13%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,662
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Styl…
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