Polymarket (Global)
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?
Other
Updated 15m ago · Settles Nov 8, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
4¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
40,695
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next New Zealand general election. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, i…
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