Polymarket (Global)
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Gyurov 20-30%
Updated 23m ago · Settles Oct 25, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
4¢
Bid 3¢ · Ask 5¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
37,221
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentag…
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