Polymarket (Global)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 2m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
23¢
Bid 22¢ · Ask 23¢
Pricedger fair probability
21%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
176,018
Fine-print risk
46/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab, or an official representative of an eligible AI lab, announces that the lab has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjectur…
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