Polymarket (Global)

Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Updated 41m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

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Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

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No side call

Volume

360,629

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core execu…

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