Polymarket (Global)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Updated 48m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
13¢
Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢
Pricedger fair probability
10%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
325,671
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attribu…
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