Polymarket (Global)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

2

Updated 3m ago · Settles Mar 2, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

36¢

Bid 35¢ · Ask 36¢

Pricedger fair probability

35%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.4 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

458,898

Fine-print risk

34/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology