Polymarket (Global)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
Updated 3m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
1¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
3,377,525
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50…
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