Polymarket (Global)
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Updated 24m ago · Settles Oct 17, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
67¢
Bid 66¢ · Ask 68¢
Pricedger fair probability
68%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
54,441
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Final match between Team Vitality and 100 Thieves in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves wins 2 or more maps than Team Vitality in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology