Polymarket (Global)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Match Winner
Updated 51m ago · Settles Oct 17, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
33¢
Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢
Pricedger fair probability
32%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
43,335
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Final match between Team Vitality and 100 Thieves in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at a…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology