Polymarket (Global)
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1
Match Winner
Updated 15m ago · Settles Oct 23, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
22¢
Bid 19¢ · Ask 24¢
Pricedger fair probability
19%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
59,798
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 2 match between FunPlus Phoenix and Dragon Ranger Gaming in the VCT Threshold China Week 1, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FunPlus Phoenix" if FunPlus Phoenix win the match against Dragon Ranger Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dragon Ranger Gaming" if Dragon Ranger Gaming win the match against FunPlus Phoenix.…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology