Polymarket (Global)
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?
October 9
Updated 13m ago · Settles Oct 9, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
98¢
Bid 98¢ · Ask 98¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
29,501
Fine-print risk
94/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-l…
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