Polymarket (Global)

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?

October 7

Updated 3m ago · Settles Oct 8, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

99¢

Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢

Pricedger fair probability

99%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

0.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

384,808

Fine-print risk

94/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology