Polymarket (Global)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
October 15
Updated 3m ago · Settles Oct 16, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
91¢
Bid 90¢ · Ask 91¢
Pricedger fair probability
94%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.7 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
251,868
Fine-print risk
94/100
Resolution-rule audit
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