Polymarket (Global)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
October 12
Updated 3m ago · Settles Oct 13, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
93¢
Bid 92¢ · Ask 94¢
Pricedger fair probability
96%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
57,479
Fine-print risk
94/100
Resolution-rule audit
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