Polymarket (Global)
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 6m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
12¢
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
Pricedger fair probability
11%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,625
Fine-print risk
46/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions…
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