Polymarket (Global)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
December 31
Updated 3m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
13¢
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
Pricedger fair probability
10%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
5,396,273
Fine-print risk
48/100
Resolution-rule audit
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