Polymarket (Global)
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Updated 52m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
4¢
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
183,034
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive…
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