Polymarket (Global)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?
October 7
Updated 3m ago · Settles Oct 8, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
0¢
Bid 0¢ · Ask 0¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
51,435
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
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