Polymarket (Global)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
14¢
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
Pricedger fair probability
11%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
3,416,296
Fine-print risk
70/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
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