Polymarket (Global)
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
Updated 22m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
10¢
Bid 9¢ · Ask 11¢
Pricedger fair probability
8%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
63,252
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market resolves "Yes" if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action that directly has the effect of generally removing public access within the US to a major Chinese AI model, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". A qualifying action is a formal US government actio…
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