Polymarket (Global)
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Updated 42m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
Pricedger fair probability
4%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
204,009
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models. - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training…
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