Polymarket (Global)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
October 31
Updated 5m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
21¢
Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢
Pricedger fair probability
19%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
3,755,804
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
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