Polymarket (Global)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
October 15
Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 16, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
11¢
Bid 10¢ · Ask 11¢
Pricedger fair probability
8%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.9 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
1,833,726
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
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