Polymarket (Global)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
November 2
Updated 50m ago · Settles Nov 3, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
6¢
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
60,038
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Irania…
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