Polymarket (Global)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 5m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
49¢
Bid 48¢ · Ask 49¢
Pricedger fair probability
48%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
2,950,992
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
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