Polymarket (Global)

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Updated 1h ago · Settles Jan 1, 27 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

4¢

Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.0 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

163,012

Fine-print risk

34/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology