Polymarket (Global)
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Updated 20m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
6¢
Bid 6¢ · Ask 6¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
354,534
Fine-print risk
45/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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