Polymarket (Global)
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 35m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
35¢
Bid 34¢ · Ask 36¢
Pricedger fair probability
34%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
69,967
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as sh…
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