Polymarket (Global)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
June 30, 2027
Updated 23m ago · Settles Jul 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
54¢
Bid 53¢ · Ask 54¢
Pricedger fair probability
54%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
34,369
Fine-print risk
46/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occu…
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