Polymarket (Global)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?
February 28, 2027
Updated 37m ago · Settles Mar 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
38¢
Bid 37¢ · Ask 38¢
Pricedger fair probability
37%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
47,226
Fine-print risk
46/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occu…
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