Polymarket (Global)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

↑ $8,600

Updated 3m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

8¢

Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢

Pricedger fair probability

5%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.5 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

39,379

Fine-print risk

12/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology