Polymarket (Global)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
↓ $6,200
Updated 18m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
10¢
Bid 8¢ · Ask 11¢
Pricedger fair probability
7%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.9 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
67,467
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute i…
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