Polymarket (Global)
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 6m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
4¢
Bid 3¢ · Ask 5¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
110,763
Fine-print risk
54/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness announces that it will cease operations, that Situational Awareness LP will be wound down, or that all outside investor capital in Situational Awareness LP will be returned, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A conversion to a family office or proprietary vehicle, or a distribution of assets in kind to investors,…
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