Polymarket (Global)
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 20m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
32¢
Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢
Pricedger fair probability
31%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
55,807
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute r…
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