Polymarket (Global)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
October 31
Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
26¢
Bid 25¢ · Ask 26¢
Pricedger fair probability
24%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
240,869
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
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