Polymarket (Global)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
October 15
Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 15, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
5¢
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.0 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
105,045
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
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