Polymarket (Global)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
November 30
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 30, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
49¢
Bid 48¢ · Ask 49¢
Pricedger fair probability
48%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
49,599
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
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