Polymarket (Global)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 40m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
59¢
Bid 58¢ · Ask 60¢
Pricedger fair probability
60%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
330,407
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in a…
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