Polymarket (Global)

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

Updated 3m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

9¢

Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢

Pricedger fair probability

5%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.8 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

48,883

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology