Polymarket (Global)
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
9¢
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Pricedger fair probability
5%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
193,214
Fine-print risk
78/100
Resolution-rule audit
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