Polymarket (Global)
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
25 bps increase
Updated 7m ago · Settles Oct 28, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
53¢
Bid 51¢ · Ask 55¢
Pricedger fair probability
53%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.8 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
35,545
Fine-print risk
19/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as lis…
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