Polymarket (Global)
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?
↑ 15%
Updated 12m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
6¢
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.5 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
44,148
Fine-print risk
16/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column…
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